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Election betting markets take a victory lap
What betting markets got right and wrong about Trump’s victory
In general, markets gave shorter odds to Donald Trump, who won comfortably, than would have been implied by the neck-and-neck polls or political models, like the one published by The Economist. On Polymarket Mr Trump’s chances of victory never dipped far below 50%,
Election betting markets take a victory lap after ‘predicting’ Trump’s win
Billions of dollars were staked on the election on prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, with betting now open on Cabinet positions.
Betting odds more accurate than polls in forecasting Trump’s win
Trump briefly dipped to -145 after the first results came in at 4 p.m. Tuesday. But his odds quickly soared to -225 by 5 p.m. and to -320 by 6 p.m., topping Trump’s high mark during the campaign.
8d
on MSN
Election betting is newly legal — and risks getting confused with polls
Wagers have been flooding in for weeks after a ruling opened the door to U.S. users placing bets on ballot outcomes, blurring ...
11d
on MSN
Could Political Betting Swing the US Election?
The penalty for betting on the identity of the next pope was excommunication. Five centuries later, the urge to bet on ...
2d
on MSN
French regulators are looking into Polymarket after a massive surge in US election betting
Polymarket garnered attention after a trader revealed to be a French national had placed bets worth $30 million on a victory ...
Covers
2d
New Congress Could Keep Heat on Regulator Over Election Betting
The 119th United States Congress may have some interest in the legality and regulation of election wagering even now that the election has passed.
Deseret News on MSN
5d
Perspective: The slippery slope of betting on elections
Last month, the courts cleared the way for Americans to buy event contracts, which is just a fancy way to say “place a
bet
...
Scripps News on MSN
5d
Betting on politics: This is where the odds stand in the presidential race
Political polls have long been used to track where voters stand on certain races and issues. But a new non-traditional method of predicting election outcomes has gained in popularity: betting.
WBUR
7d
Why political betting markets are showing different predictions than opinion polls
This year's presidential election is awfully close, according to most polls, pundits and the campaigns themselves. But one ...
2d
on MSN
Kalshi rolls out political betting contracts for Trump presidency
Prediction marketplace Kalshi has rolled out more markets for betting on United States political events in a bid to keep ...
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