The world is full of uncertainty: accidents, storms, unruly financial markets, noisy communications. The world is also full of data. Probabilistic modeling and the related field of statistical ...

Crypto markets are famous for their volatility. Double-digit price swings in a single day are common, and narrative-driven momentum can push tokens far beyond traditional valuation models. In that ...

Large families of bivariate probability models based on Panjer-type relations are proposed. These relations are generated by differential equations of probability generating functions (p.g.fs), ...

Objective probability estimates the odds of an event occurring through data analysis. It uses concrete measures instead of guesses to provide a reliable forecast.